NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2df77a2711b37a260dc1cf78037e1b7fb1be536d37156c3127dca655bb3297c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 5,308$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 54c | 3,313$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.07 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 1,873$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 37c | 1,834$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,654$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.11 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 64c | 1,315$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.37 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 13c | 801.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 45c | 744.1$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.85 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Under | 54c | 445$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.7 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 54c | 411.21$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 59c | 304.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 32c | 303$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 34c | 184.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 57c | 166.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 163.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 58c | 148.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 55c | 145.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 57c | 117.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 110.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 102.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 58c | 99.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Under | 75c | 70.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 55c | 57.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 47c | 55.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Under | 63c | 46.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…9487backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 37.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…48c6backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 26.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 75c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Kings won
- 1H Spread: Suns (-6.5)Kings won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. KingsSuns won
- Suns vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Under won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Under won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.