TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,098 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over19c3,102$590 inWon+$2,512.132,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over17c1,283$218 inWon+$1,064.841,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost-$102437.5%9 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over9c930$84 inWon+$846.31,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under30c586.79$178 inLost-$178.254934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over10c555.98$57 inWon+$498.562,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Under75c484.79$364 inLost-$363.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c402.18$277 inWon+$125.672,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over45c303.48$135 inWon+$168.256642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under39c284.14$111 inLost-$110.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over19c279.65$52 inWon+$227.545,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over25c271.84$69 inWon+$202.751,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over17c232.94$40 inWon+$193.3419965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over17c232.94$40 inWon+$193.3420769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over17c232.94$40 inWon+$193.3421574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over69c228.25$158 inWon+$69.922748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over11c225.08$25 inWon+$200.321,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over12c222.31$27 inWon+$195.4314310.5%15 W · 128 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Under73c200$146 inLost-$1466479.7%51 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over15c120$18 inWon+$1026041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over17c98.94$17 inWon+$82.1224548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over11c87.82$10 inWon+$77.8111145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under30c83.33$25 inLost-$252360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under73c79.72$59 inLost-$58.5437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over33c71.85$24 inWon+$48.1419751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over72c69.44$50 inWon+$19.4421367.6%144 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ad…74d3backed Over34c58$20 inWon+$381100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+190%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under37c53.39$20 inLost-$203070%21 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+78.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under58c47.62$28 inLost-$27.6289245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon+$27.628645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…d7a1backed Under26c42.69$11 inLost-$11.1911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under70c30$21 inLost-$211,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under58c19$11 inLost-$11.025740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x663c…194cbacked Over64c15.75$10 inWon+$5.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.