TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,063 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1016…b09bbacked Over49c2,100$1,029 inLost-$1,028.926453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under76c1,545$1,179 inWon+$365.9219340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over23c356$82 inLost-$81.881,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under51c250.98$128 inWon+$122.987844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over28c199.99$56 inLost-$5660%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c190.34$96 inWon+$94.455,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c135.35$69 inWon+$66.3269352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c109.02$56 inWon+$53.4234847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under51c101.96$52 inWon+$49.9610441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under51c100$51 inWon+$498341%34 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Under79c100$79 inWon+$21366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under51c88.24$45 inWon+$43.245743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under51c84.31$43 inWon+$41.315844.8%26 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over31c80.84$25 inLost-$253043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c56.36$39 inWon+$17.472,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over60c48.05$29 inLost-$28.834759.6%28 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under78c25.64$20 inWon+$5.642245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under80c19.41$16 inWon+$3.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.