Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4206e27e388ab40f17bee6c22373410fa4eefcf01f59005983f42277e1d821e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henan FCof Henan FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e8a…0156backed Henan FC | 61c | 32,083$19,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,537.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 39c | 9,925$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 5,455$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.74 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 39c | 3,798$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.06 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 29c | 3,754$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 40c | 2,521$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 40c | 2,229$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.02 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Henan FC | 62c | 2,063$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.22 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 36c | 1,290$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.51 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 39c | 1,162$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.24 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 4c | 968$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 39c | 961$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.79 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 39c | 961$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.79 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 40c | 941.32$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.29 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 36c | 733.48$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Henan FC | 52c | 655.25$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.12 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 40c | 640$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.93 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Henan FC | 54c | 599.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 20c | 498.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…9450backed Henan FC | 61c | 492.57$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 40c | 343.62$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Henan FC | 50c | 265.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 40c | 238.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Henan FC | 57c | 170.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Henan FC | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 38c | 130.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 41c | 127.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 14c | 116.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 57c | 99.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 75.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Henan FC | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 40c | 51.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Henan FC | 59c | 49.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 40.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…5ea3backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 38c | 35.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Henan FC | 57c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…1120backed Henan FC | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Henan FC | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Henan FC | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 56c | 27.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 56c | 18.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)this page
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.