Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x046a432a8749eb8994730e53711f4f0280caa5f942a3a2d0a35e52c9bcfc880b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 1c | 16,536$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.24 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 3c | 1,667$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 8c | 1,578$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 19c | 733.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…666fbacked Under | 29c | 722.4$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 35c | 419.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 284.15$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…118bbacked Under | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccd…f017backed Over | 64c | 245$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 226.03$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 26c | 190.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 32c | 189.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…4da0backed Under | 9c | 168.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…d7a1backed Under | 7c | 158.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…cbd3backed Under | 37c | 142$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 17c | 119.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 29c | 118.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…def4backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…dca6backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…f66abacked Under | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f80…7912backed Over | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…67eebacked Over | 66c | 92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…1eb8backed Under | 34c | 92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…a842backed Over | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…ff34backed Under | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…2608backed Under | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…3c96backed Over | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737a…e04abacked Under | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 20c | 79.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 38c | 76.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 79c | 44.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 64c | 37.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 64c | 32.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 41c | 24.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 59c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Over | 64c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 80c | 15.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.