Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b61d066a749013be16b39152ea701171665613b3d1621d39307b4db67d798aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 1c | 5,097$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 22c | 680.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Under | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 50c | 509.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.57 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 443.9$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b0…4dffbacked Under | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 29c | 399.45$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.98 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 349.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.53 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 73c | 279.97$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.68 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 264.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 71c | 252.16$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.91 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 9c | 233.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 17c | 227.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 75c | 199.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 28c | 184.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 45c | 145.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 76c | 140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 40c | 96.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 48c | 92.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb138…7252backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…7b0cbacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd587…6817backed Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…d4debacked Under | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff39…1d07backed Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8260…6091backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc242…3b04backed Under | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0449…29ffbacked Over | 53c | 67.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…a9adbacked Under | 47c | 60.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…a783backed Over | 53c | 60.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 71c | 59.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 66c | 59.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…0d8bbacked Under | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb92…40c7backed Over | 51c | 58.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…4002backed Under | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf560…d4b4backed Over | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…2bafbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…a079backed Over | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 47.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1f…14b5backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…6da3backed Under | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 58c | 38.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 31.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Under | 70c | 26.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 41c | 26.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 69c | 22.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 63c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 77c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 77c | 13.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Henan FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.