TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc4cd…a98dbacked Under51c9,901$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under1c7,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under34c2,431$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.422,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c2,234$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.925,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over70c2,192$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.4887645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over63c1,905$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.768843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under9c1,714$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505420.4%11 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over54c1,588$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.383531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over63c1,398$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.442,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over49c873.34$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8634447.4%163 W · 181 L+1.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over63c621.56$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.989344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c544.5$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.581,35445.4%615 W · 739 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over51c508.25$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.436642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Under56c499.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.993246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c470.48$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3973538.6%284 W · 451 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over43c464.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.771060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under31c438.03$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6919340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2286341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under53c392.66$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.278859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under10c381.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c370.45$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.352,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under53c339.97$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6953946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c301.87$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.011,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c276.05$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2682542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over53c266$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0226336.5%96 W · 167 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over53c260.27$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0492235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under56c249.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.971631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c244.66$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4410158.4%59 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b0…4dffbacked Under49c240.3$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over50c235.48$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.747837.2%29 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb4…8898backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2b…0643backed Under23c180$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1892…bc18backed Over77c180$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+126.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Under10c178.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.861861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f61…45d7backed Over68c176$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+190.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f0…7314backed Under32c176$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41a…7078backed Over60c172$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+126.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bd…e02bbacked Under40c171.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e90…8ff2backed Over79c163$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+124.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d13…1e8ebacked Under21c163$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over45c160.23$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1318544.3%82 W · 103 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…423fbacked Under26c156$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9e…e7d3backed Over74c156$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+152.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ac…ce70backed Under28c153$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc45…0f2fbacked Over72c153$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+169.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Over49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.42347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over56c139$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.471,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over60c137.93$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1737459.1%221 W · 153 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c132.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.811,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0741…b738backed Under25c132$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd10…a701backed Over74c132$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+140%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over65c129.78$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.351,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe612…53f6backed Under30c129$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf9…5419backed Over70c129$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+179.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c5…7ba3backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…4da0backed Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under62c99.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9834050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over51c96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0427338.8%106 W · 167 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under32c95.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.733070%21 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+78.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over55c88.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4820651.5%106 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.814744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under50c63.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6836352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x942b…d2b4backed Under41c62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under50c59.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.921942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4540051%204 W · 196 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over60c50.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4376255.9%426 W · 336 L+38.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9620…674cbacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3111433.3%38 W · 76 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.65862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over46c38.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6114047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3954354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Under57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.953941%16 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0918445.7%84 W · 100 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793030%9 W · 21 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-53.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Over64c32.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.418941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Under56c26.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under57c24.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7315850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under60c19.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.828265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over67c19.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.364077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under56c17.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.