Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x408e85ecbad56c0e51e19eb92c39c9aa15b14eaafc7d966e0fce36e56fcea8e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 30c | 12,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 10,966$8,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…c9e7backed Yes | 53c | 10,212$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…dd71backed No | 47c | 10,212$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Yes | 29c | 8,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…7ebdbacked Yes | 31c | 6,358$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 3,961$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 71c | 2,551$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.31 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 1,952$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.94 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…3f5fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,697$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,375$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.11 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 1,172$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.43 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 70c | 1,148$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.51 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 736$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.58 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 735$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 566.5$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.55 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 479.19$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 10c | 460.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 293$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 285.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 69c | 272.97$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 69c | 256.31$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 69c | 240.01$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 70c | 232.23$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed No | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…1f85backed No | 74c | 192.31$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…3254backed Yes | 25c | 180$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 74c | 156.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 71c | 149$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 30c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 20c | 137.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 74c | 134.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 71c | 105.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…cd66backed Yes | 27c | 104.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…cdcbbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…b132backed No | 72c | 88.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…cc1bbacked No | 75c | 71.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed No | 71c | 69.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…50acbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 71c | 56.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 71c | 52.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 51.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…675fbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 36.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked No | 71c | 35.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 71c | 35.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed No | 71c | 35.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe30…6d57backed No | 70c | 25.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…ea3ebacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 69c | 19.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 72c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 60c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Viking FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.