Tennis · resolved market
ITF Poprad: Matthias Ujvary vs Karol Filar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8cbfc53b7dc8804f0108b9c8c7ad9b21d4596d86a3ab8bde459fd4f1f856e2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthias Ujvaryof Matthias Ujvary, Karol Filar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Karol Filar | 49c | 2,552$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Karol Filar | 9c | 1,048$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matthias Ujvary | 68c | 420.98$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthias Ujvary | 45c | 296.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.98 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Matthias Ujvary | 46c | 229.89$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Matthias Ujvary | 33c | 152$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Karol Filar | 42c | 118.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Matthias Ujvary | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Matthias Ujvary | 67c | 96.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…73f9backed Karol Filar | 71c | 94.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matthias Ujvary | 30c | 87.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Matthias Ujvary | 29c | 78.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Karol Filar | 37c | 46.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Karol Filar | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Karol Filar | 51c | 29.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Karol Filar | 69c | 28.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…8ccebacked Matthias Ujvary | 61c | 27.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Matthias Ujvary | 68c | 22.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Matthias Ujvary | 46c | 22.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Karol Filar | 70c | 20.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Poprad: Matthias Ujvary vs Karol Filarthis page
- ITF Men Poprad: Completed Match: Matthias Ujvary vs Karol FilarYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.