TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$745,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $745,941 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes30c232,557$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes0c84,385$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3935941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No71c57,056$40,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,293.051770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No69c55,470$38,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,195.7518958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c46,202$33,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,905.452,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes29c37,723$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c36,176$25,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,966.7451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes29c34,483$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c23,336$16,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,767.572,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No72c17,993$12,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,038.124148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No77c14,394$11,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.7546943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes29c13,793$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c11,685$8,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,415.91,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No71c11,000$7,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.963971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c8,288$5,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.624564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c8,155$5,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.412,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c6,261$4,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.946,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No72c6,172$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.2215757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes29c5,693$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6511915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Yes29c5,345$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes1c5,002$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.074216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4509272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes29c4,996$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.832433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No70c4,697$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.589849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes29c4,393$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27424047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes29c4,310$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2507732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes28c4,135$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.939347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes29c3,893$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed No69c3,500$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0851136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No70c3,333$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.918259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c3,316$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.641,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0c…9fc9backed Yes3c2,866$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No71c2,821$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.012875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…bbe8backed Yes30c2,643$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06c9…58abbacked Yes4c2,537$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes29c2,228$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6461050%5 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+119.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes2c2,217$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5525225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No70c2,143$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8649254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No71c2,094$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.252846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71fa…c7e1backed Yes5c2,080$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c2,055$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.991,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60021056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c1,900$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes4c1,639$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.577429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes4c1,637$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.159733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes17c1,570$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.441344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No72c1,542$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.671369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes28c1,523$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.485442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No71c1,507$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.033145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed2…8958backed Yes32c1,414$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501788.2%15 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.41per pick47cpaid+144.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No71c1,413$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.5282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No72c1,403$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.846150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No72c1,353$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.824856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Yes29c1,345$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked No72c1,319$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.441353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Yes29c1,187$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.111625%4 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Yes31c1,160$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.62948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No71c1,116$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6723250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a96…c691backed Yes1c1,109$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes29c1,107$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.1211446.5%53 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes29c1,100$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3196150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Yes5c1,020$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca79…7f40backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6b…103bbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x461b…1fb4backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No76c976.93$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4622458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c951.39$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No70c893.07$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.924862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No70c857$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.12286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed Yes29c827.59$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No71c800.9$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.265151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes29c693.17$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.026145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dee…34a2backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x458a…972ebacked Yes3c685.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e98…382bbacked Yes14c676.41$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c665.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…b22bbacked Yes29c655.17$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Yes28c648.82$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.482548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcff9…795abacked Yes29c639.16$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes3c632.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes32c628.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7f…1a03backed Yes29c620.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c603$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.71,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Yes5c593.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.473141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c589.99$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes28c564.4$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0310341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked No72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.565100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes29c551.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Yes5c548.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Yes18c547.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.92147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes19c535.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-78.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ace…95a9backed Yes3c530.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.