Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Senegal: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43f220603c57bba9820e70d0b0af2d1abcb5ecc7064f49a0ec81b2c03b30f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 67c | 8,666$5,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.75 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 33c | 8,458$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.46 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 4,158$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.82 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 2,246$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.38 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 79c | 1,993$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.54 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 1,833$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…f0ffbacked Yes | 18c | 1,665$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 74c | 1,043$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.14 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 64c | 829.34$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.1 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 700.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 33c | 590.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 546.34$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.32 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 518.92$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 33c | 447.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 65c | 414$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 18c | 368.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes | 3c | 353.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…0181backed Yes | 38c | 260.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 256.59$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 72c | 248.22$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 19c | 211$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 208$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 36c | 166.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 29c | 162.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 68c | 146.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 13c | 138.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 63c | 117.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 36c | 116$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…f446backed No | 74c | 105.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 34c | 98.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 81.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 25c | 78.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 71.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71d4…b001backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 76c | 24.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Second half draw?this page
- Belgium to win the second half?Yes won
- Senegal to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.