Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a4129e49846bf92a22a2e8a40e607512f02478e7b955cfe4042b7895cf5f1b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 38c | 10,663$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,590.56 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.96 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 38c | 4,415$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.37 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 30c | 3,651$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.68 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 60c | 2,517$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 1,949$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.04 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 61c | 1,619$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 804$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 52c | 768.88$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.61 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 61c | 760.86$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.71 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 52c | 668.03$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.66 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 580.22$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.16 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 546.34$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.77 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 535.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 44c | 510$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 55c | 485.67$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.44 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 483.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 11c | 473$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.63 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 43c | 415$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 18c | 375.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.05 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…163abacked Yes | 67c | 313$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 36c | 242.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.53 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 48c | 223$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…eb60backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 61c | 185.13$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 177.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 53c | 164.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 47c | 153$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 24c | 132.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked No | 54c | 125.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 9c | 119.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 47c | 119.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 14c | 114$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 43c | 97.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yes | 47c | 97.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 43c | 94.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 48c | 90.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…b06cbacked Yes | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed No | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…1db9backed Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yes | 47c | 47.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 45c | 36.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…b203backed No | 79c | 30.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…67e1backed Yes | 56c | 29.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 61c | 25.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 56c | 21.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked No | 77c | 18.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium to win the second half?this page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Second half draw?No won
- Senegal to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.