Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba0fe64fe5cb2c80fb808792453bd59923289dd6ca5e16119eb3d0d4a1e7d6d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 46,145$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 24c | 8,372$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 4,029$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.39 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 50c | 4,019$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 3,362$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.2 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 78c | 2,986$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.05 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 77c | 2,644$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.27 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 77c | 1,610$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.3 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…396bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 810.52$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.62 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 678.28$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 626.33$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.11 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes | 35c | 617.68$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…bcd5backed No | 16c | 600$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 592.56$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.57 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 553.97$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 546.34$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…04f6backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…5405backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 78c | 415.03$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 20c | 396.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.04 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…f0ffbacked Yes | 65c | 384.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 367.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Yes | 58c | 344.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 29c | 342.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 6c | 332.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 79c | 327$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked No | 16c | 281.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.09 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 25c | 276.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 65c | 272.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 76c | 271.42$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 71c | 210.23$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e207backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 70c | 182.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Yes | 8c | 165.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes | 68c | 147.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 18c | 147.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 74c | 144$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 27c | 134.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…f446backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 34c | 113.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes | 22c | 109.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…78b7backed Yes | 41c | 99.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 73c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…c3bcbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…0aa5backed Yes | 71c | 77.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed No | 19c | 74.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…4f59backed Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…67e1backed Yes | 17c | 59.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…96a6backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…8a4abacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…886cbacked Yes | 73c | 47.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 45c | 43.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…5681backed Yes | 35c | 43.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…48ebbacked Yes | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal to win the second half?this page
- Belgium to win the second half?Yes won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.