Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f1c34d1d5b62adf0e0ff6a9d4a250344da1cde5a5a4f3ded68aa438f509da62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 2,713$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.4 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,394$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 1,723$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.29 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 1,145$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.24 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 19c | 766.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 752.04$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.96 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Over | 55c | 705.87$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…fcc3backed Under | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 33c | 556.53$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 15c | 442.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 31c | 426.84$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.32 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Over | 54c | 399.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 257.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 50c | 235.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 52c | 232.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 50c | 204.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Over | 12c | 195.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 26c | 184.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 46c | 156.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 70c | 141.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked Under | 54c | 115.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 66c | 89.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 87.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 71.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 56c | 53.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…85fbbacked Under | 76c | 39.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 56c | 34.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 63c | 34.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Under | 48c | 33.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.9wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 77c | 33.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 51c | 24.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 55c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 73c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…a83fbacked Under | 77c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5this page
- KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: HŠK Zrinjski Mostar O/U 0.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 4.5Under won
- KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (-1.5)KF Valur won
- Spread: KF Valur (-1.5)HŠK Zrinjski Mostar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.