TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Europa Conference League · resolved market

KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,796 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x162c…6c47backed Over52c5,630$2,913 inLost-$2,913.0411457%65 W · 49 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c3,654$2,892 inWon+$761.942,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c1,318$632 inWon+$685.12,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over18c1,259$227 inLost-$226.673,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over13c1,126$150 inLost-$15029337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c1,031$541 inWon+$489.743,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over20c639.81$130 inLost-$130.12,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under46c449.43$207 inWon+$242.6944251.6%228 W · 214 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under79c424.11$335 inWon+$89.0620440.7%83 W · 121 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c417.05$201 inWon+$215.641,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over17c297.38$51 inLost-$50.553737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over6c274.08$16 inLost-$16.448446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon+$122.2215224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under72c128.27$93 inWon+$35.4193341.4%386 W · 547 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Over21c53.13$11 inLost-$10.984139%16 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over52c49.98$26 inLost-$25.998551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under51c25.62$13 inWon+$12.6638431.5%121 W · 263 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.