Mls · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6def304d882f01457832bb8c6697b88eaac1465f782a0d603823720f48426822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles FCof Los Angeles FC, Los Angeles Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Los Angeles FC | 42c | 5,183$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.96 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 62c | 1,235$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 58c | 1,212$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 47c | 1,146$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.68 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 53c | 833.66$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.33 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles FC | 44c | 803.51$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.16 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 58c | 765.05$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 76c | 710.44$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 78c | 686.99$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Los Angeles FC | 60c | 515.36$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 47c | 460.51$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 62c | 321.64$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Los Angeles FC | 26c | 228.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Los Angeles FC | 63c | 223.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 72cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 43c | 98.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 64c | 72.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 69.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles FC | 29c | 68.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…1a43backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 62c | 63.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles FC | 61c | 46.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 78c | 35.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 78c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Los Angeles FC | 69c | 20.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Los Angeles FC | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.