Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc88e615af538d6ec3ff9b6410e349f20268c8d684fd7bdb2d78716e9e4cc5c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Under | 29c | 2,273$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 74c | 1,693$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.31 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 75c | 1,537$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 927.17$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.49 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 885.73$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.47 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 576.93$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.39 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f5abacked Over | 52c | 421.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 68c | 281.35$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 59c | 272.05$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 217.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 205.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…b722backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Under | 64c | 124.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 120.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…7767backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 28c | 83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Under | 69c | 72.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 41c | 67.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 45c | 63.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 59c | 53.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 44c | 37.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…f20ebacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 25.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 44c | 25.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 44c | 25.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.