TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over64c9,026$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.0119044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under35c5,593$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.2412951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c3,470$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.383,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over78c3,319$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.9398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under25c2,369$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.8199340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over62c2,171$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9832848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c2,131$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.5470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c1,934$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.871,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed Under18c1,594$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under15c1,589$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8852639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over66c1,571$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.852839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+142.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over70c1,422$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over62c1,076$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.22360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c1,030$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.0473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Under45c962.75$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under17c915.82$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.699050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under10c856$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.124046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Under34c735.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over64c638.07$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.322669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c555.66$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2382044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over70c554.69$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.386944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under34c543.15$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.82147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over62c542$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5644447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under2c510$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over63c505.72$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.121,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over62c482.89$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.522841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under51c480$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.85162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over59c442$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1422042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c439.96$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.641,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over47c407$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.539070%63 W · 27 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under35c404.73$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4320252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over61c392.33$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5331446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under37c347.71$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.962544%11 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under27c344.26$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2519641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under29c331.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under41c330.58$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.37922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over61c325.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5836247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over63c317.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.674250%21 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Over60c310$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241650%8 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over54c299.87$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.942524%6 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c275.73$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.091,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over66c269.05$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2435247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under13c262.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c246.69$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9253…0baebacked Over62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c230.52$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.471,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over67c222.13$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5246156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over63c218.73$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9333346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under18c211.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.11145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under38c211.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4310848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under50c208.22$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under38c208$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0419645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Under26c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-60.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over52c199.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under38c186$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6821547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under53c166.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.681464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.739940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1936646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Over60c121$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.47038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under50c118.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over63c112.39$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.153154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over62c108.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over63c103.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.176250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over63c95.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Over63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under21c91.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c89.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9910249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under24c88.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under35c84.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0430735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked Over63c80.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.375050%25 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under38c76.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.842835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over63c76.65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.361650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7376…7767backed Over63c75.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.071050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over56c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2429460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over62c70.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9111650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over68c67.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over56c67.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5231158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.642060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over55c63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.662035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c5…2353backed Over54c55.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Over65c55.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.41030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over76c54.6$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.111454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…29a1backed Under39c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+157.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over66c50.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under37c46.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.064748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Over66c44.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over63c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Over63c41.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.