Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3959a6ba290b66be9ed22367eafbfbfec94afe72906942ca4a8e84974bfce529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 5,969$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.41 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 4,610$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.84 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 23c | 4,441$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Under | 76c | 3,969$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 24c | 2,701$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 75c | 2,179$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.68 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 1,929$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.42 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 22c | 1,342$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 78c | 1,288$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.6 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 1,079$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.97 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 79c | 912.28$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.62 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Under | 73c | 890.48$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over | 22c | 849.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 22c | 499.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 19c | 488$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed Under | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 24c | 388.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 324.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 76c | 304.84$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 24c | 286.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 266.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 251.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Under | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 24c | 207.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 31c | 184.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 21c | 184.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 32c | 184.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 21c | 167.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 28c | 167$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 130.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 19c | 124.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 20c | 101.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 73cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 27c | 68.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 22c | 65.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 64.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 71c | 59.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 42c | 59.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 33c | 57.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 69c | 56.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 70c | 42.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 34c | 40.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Under | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 78c | 25.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 80c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 73c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.