Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf39f86f1b55d7d26290f970e2361408f71aaaee76df8f4c23dd9dfef0cb14e5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 77c | 542.04$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 10c | 341.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 325.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f5abacked Over | 73c | 227.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 166$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 23c | 128$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Under | 24c | 100.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 22c | 82.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 58.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…8527backed Over | 55c | 54.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 76c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.