TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,592 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c1,607$354 inWon+$1,253.323,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under38c1,059$402 inWon+$656.6819847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over78c835.59$651 inLost-$650.7610358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Over78c632.95$494 inLost-$493.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over78c564.68$441 inLost-$441.1927047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under57c310$177 inWon+$132.871,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over62c299.14$185 inLost-$185.471,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over78c192.26$150 inLost-$149.962751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d85…dd2bbacked Over78c179.49$140 inLost-$140250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under22c179.49$39 inWon+$1402544%11 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over52c150$79 inLost-$78.527344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over78c129.91$101 inLost-$101.312653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over37c118.76$44 inLost-$44.37119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under58c118.1$69 inWon+$49.5671443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over40c102.39$41 inLost-$40.7944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under22c77.58$17 inWon+$60.5611848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over77c43.82$34 inLost-$33.923154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…b1d4backed Under62c41.35$26 inWon+$15.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over35c35$12 inLost-$12.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under54c25.94$14 inWon+$11.9330957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under55c25.45$14 inWon+$11.456651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under54c25$14 inWon+$11.55343.4%23 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Over78c24.3$19 inLost-$18.952245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Over79c20.21$16 inLost-$15.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over74c19.06$14 inLost-$14.11,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over59c18.64$11 inLost-$1120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.