TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over39c21,605$8,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,425.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed Under61c17,211$10,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,712.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c4,761$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.593,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over42c4,352$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.723528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over55c4,130$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-74.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under54c4,037$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.12933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under61c3,688$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.3221547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c3,523$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.3627837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under42c3,250$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over52c3,207$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.4398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under61c2,500$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.6870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under60c2,288$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.1652639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c2,257$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.81,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Under49c2,039$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over39c2,002$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.7832848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.991050%5 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over39c1,907$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c1,900$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.381,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under54c1,384$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.181850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under63c1,181$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c1,147$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.5271443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over40c1,068$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over45c1,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under63c1,000$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.984868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under60c963.7$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.4812951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c947.28$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.9173438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over49c942.9$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.881533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c940.78$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over29c900$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over50c876.2$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.0536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under60c754.38$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over35c753.07$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8136247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over69c724.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9911454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over45c650.1$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5131446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c646.18$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.75337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c610.97$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over34c587$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.776631.8%21 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over61c521$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2318774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006124.6%15 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under47c467.55$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9219641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over58c452.89$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8622042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over48c411.08$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Under65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over53c399.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over52c381.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.992839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+142.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over48c373.65$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6144447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over44c338.42$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Over24c332$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.864641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over56c331.16$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.782360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over52c330.28$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.753253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+81.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under55c307.8$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.261,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over39c280$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under60c267.8$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1227047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over40c262.07$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over32c254$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2827058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over40c249.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.553751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Under62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.941369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Under62c240$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+43.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c220.35$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9182044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Over40c220$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over46c217.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.31650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under70c216.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c2e…d298backed Over37c199.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under55c187.35$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under63c186.41$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over40c182.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.45759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under57c180.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7380249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over40c180$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.914955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over32c172.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over43c172.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over40c171.48$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.939435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under77c150.01$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c148.66$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3122841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Over45c146$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.017038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe011…159fbacked Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over39c128.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504250%21 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under52c119.26$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7720252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked Under56c116$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over47c114.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0230735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c113.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0525652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Over40c110.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.461030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Under61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over31c109.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over40c109.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7110957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over52c108.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.522669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under42c105.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.973548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over39c104.77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.868129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under61c101.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.641060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.