TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OKSavingsBank BRIONof DRX, OKSavingsBank BRION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed OKSavingsBank BRION41c75,988$31,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,785.3564155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked DRX59c50,000$29,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,50012161.2%74 W · 47 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OKSavingsBank BRION41c11,957$4,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,069.861,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked DRX53c10,357$5,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,482.942040%8 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed DRX59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.9420438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed OKSavingsBank BRION52c9,661$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.7248157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed OKSavingsBank BRION42c8,960$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,231.683348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed OKSavingsBank BRION43c8,253$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,718.7431644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe478…610ebacked DRX1c7,332$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2735.5%4 W · 69 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-64.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked DRX58c6,867$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.941,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed DRX60c6,642$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.31,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked OKSavingsBank BRION43c4,998$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.131,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed OKSavingsBank BRION70c4,736$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.1181143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OKSavingsBank BRION41c4,609$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.672,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked DRX58c3,221$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.253640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed OKSavingsBank BRION43c3,200$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.9854353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed DRX48c3,173$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.4810653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DRX43c3,159$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.211,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked DRX57c3,106$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.4637245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed DRX59c3,096$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.3525269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed DRX58c2,848$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.7382352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed OKSavingsBank BRION37c2,760$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.971,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed DRX64c2,738$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.8621857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaddf…5340backed DRX54c2,470$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.81030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked DRX48c2,453$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.6318961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked DRX45c2,409$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.8611454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed DRX57c2,140$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.51,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x674f…4382backed DRX1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked OKSavingsBank BRION40c1,707$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.1778050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked DRX62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked OKSavingsBank BRION56c1,546$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.46560%39 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed DRX54c1,533$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.6216040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0735…4d2cbacked DRX4c1,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1be3…5b35backed DRX62c1,462$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed OKSavingsBank BRION42c1,350$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.517744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed DRX60c1,324$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.561,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed DRX59c1,300$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7671,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked DRX64c1,292$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.411,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed OKSavingsBank BRION42c1,225$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.4948448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed OKSavingsBank BRION41c1,213$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.7919122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked DRX62c1,138$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9996057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked DRX59c1,100$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6498151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed DRX53c1,091$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.7114562.1%90 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed DRX60c1,090$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.5663161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed DRX49c1,050$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51552438.9%204 W · 320 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed DRX60c1,033$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.81,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca2…93f7backed DRX59c1,033$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.472532%8 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked OKSavingsBank BRION47c1,003$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52859558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed DRX58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed DRX61c939.59$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.0541644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked OKSavingsBank BRION34c811.85$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.51,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked OKSavingsBank BRION41c796.36$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.6533251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed DRX62c706.45$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4387852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ce…8acbbacked DRX75c700$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5243056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38da…01ecbacked OKSavingsBank BRION59c700$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.913345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed DRX58c700$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40930050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked OKSavingsBank BRION38c699.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.9944550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked OKSavingsBank BRION43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6734250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed DRX61c640$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.413056.9%74 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed OKSavingsBank BRION44c614.7$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.3144843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed DRX58c605.67$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.240347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked OKSavingsBank BRION36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3841,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed OKSavingsBank BRION41c600$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35247953.2%255 W · 224 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked DRX60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36032457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked OKSavingsBank BRION42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3482,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed DRX58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3489053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5077…4956backed DRX49c599.99$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7117751.4%91 W · 86 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed OKSavingsBank BRION43c599.98$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked DRX61c596.31$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.755141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed OKSavingsBank BRION37c581.51$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.516259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca9c…1007backed OKSavingsBank BRION41c578.11$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.3711038.2%42 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked DRX58c567.29$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32711750.4%59 W · 58 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9791…b0cbbacked OKSavingsBank BRION53c566.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0314942.3%63 W · 86 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed DRX46c554.74$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.361,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2615…c16dbacked DRX79c553.82$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44023357.1%133 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked OKSavingsBank BRION45c552.59$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5417826.4%47 W · 131 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12e6…ea33backed OKSavingsBank BRION57c547.02$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.024257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked DRX60c544.17$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32421060%126 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe2…5f33backed OKSavingsBank BRION41c532.37$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.12369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked OKSavingsBank BRION40c528$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1434742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed DRX60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30086758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed DRX59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed DRX59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed DRX40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f90…d50fbacked DRX58c491.58$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.573839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe888…0364backed DRX62c454.84$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2821723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed DRX79c412.23$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.1849366.7%329 W · 164 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked DRX53c400$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21386649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked DRX58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23295951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed DRX59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23671249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad3…4e97backed DRX56c399.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257562.7%47 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e78…29d0backed DRX60c382.47$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23124248.3%117 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed OKSavingsBank BRION37c374.77$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.751,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc3…861abacked DRX56c373.29$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.157656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed OKSavingsBank BRION41c368.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.291,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked DRX57c353.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed DRX59c350$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.564453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed DRX60c329.63$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.787754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed DRX57c328.47$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6747951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4989…8ff0backed DRX58c327.62$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0212356.9%70 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.