Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e64a26576ba4ce13c8f6945c49f84ccc01bdabe39f3753ec14ac69e36744eaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 48c | 582.65$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Over | 50c | 433$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…4084backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 51c | 149.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…1359backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…da59backed Under | 63c | 95.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 59c | 66.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe124…9d4ebacked Over | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 50c | 59.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 36c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed Under | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 30.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac0…f02ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…30afbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?HANJIN BRION won
- First Blood in Game 2?DRX won
- First Blood in Game 3?DRX won
- Game Handicap: DRX (-1.5) vs OKSavingsBank BRION (+1.5)OKSavingsBank BRION won
- LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-InDRX won
- LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 WinnerOKSavingsBank BRION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.