TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dayton Flyersof Dayton Flyers, UNCW Seahawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,510 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe790…eadcbacked UNCW Seahawks40c31,216$12,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,543.0618954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UNCW Seahawks43c26,174$11,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,359.55,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed UNCW Seahawks18c21,939$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.628539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dayton Flyers55c12,232$6,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,520.1112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Dayton Flyers59c12,035$7,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,902.611,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNCW Seahawks40c11,481$4,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,592.312,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Dayton Flyers54c10,757$5,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.6225145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UNCW Seahawks33c8,549$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.433,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…46c9backed Dayton Flyers58c7,204$4,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Dayton Flyers60c6,610$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64429845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked UNCW Seahawks40c5,857$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.8849345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Dayton Flyers60c5,612$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.381,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Dayton Flyers60c4,837$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.6210749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Dayton Flyers61c4,705$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.1416053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dayton Flyers59c3,753$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.171,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UNCW Seahawks37c3,560$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.851,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dayton Flyers60c3,236$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.285,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x454f…7642backed Dayton Flyers60c3,011$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.711250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Dayton Flyers60c2,487$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.0361652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Dayton Flyers55c1,838$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.7431837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Dayton Flyers66c1,733$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.994,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Dayton Flyers60c1,686$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.2910846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Dayton Flyers60c1,663$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4600…d896backed UNCW Seahawks40c1,626$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked UNCW Seahawks40c1,595$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.9334343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed UNCW Seahawks54c1,507$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.312,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed UNCW Seahawks43c1,448$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.256331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd35d…a329backed UNCW Seahawks2c1,077$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed UNCW Seahawks40c1,055$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.363554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb747…3f1bbacked UNCW Seahawks19c993.66$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.162832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UNCW Seahawks2c954.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.092,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Dayton Flyers57c857.57$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.2639454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked UNCW Seahawks40c832.94$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1837142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Dayton Flyers57c831.82$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.061,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked UNCW Seahawks43c797.41$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Dayton Flyers57c790.47$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed UNCW Seahawks44c778.07$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.837652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1663…36f5backed UNCW Seahawks6c757.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dayton Flyers62c656.72$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.871,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UNCW Seahawks10c648.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.671,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Dayton Flyers61c595$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0517051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed UNCW Seahawks45c589.38$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.234542.2%19 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked UNCW Seahawks45c584.46$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6961446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Dayton Flyers57c498.03$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Dayton Flyers51c430.11$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.144553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UNCW Seahawks44c396.55$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.481,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Dayton Flyers57c341.44$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.14953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Dayton Flyers57c330.53$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.133020%6 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Dayton Flyers49c326.67$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0739742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1579…cc72backed Dayton Flyers61c325.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Dayton Flyers60c319.79$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9219958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36a7…1aeabacked UNCW Seahawks35c317.55$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed UNCW Seahawks40c289.55$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.821533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ae…0504backed UNCW Seahawks38c260.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked UNCW Seahawks40c247.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.165234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed UNCW Seahawks40c239.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9630649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dayton Flyers56c237.93$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.691,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed UNCW Seahawks38c233.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2721830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9060…d8f0backed UNCW Seahawks44c233.09$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed UNCW Seahawks43c229.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.142330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed UNCW Seahawks40c206.53$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Dayton Flyers48c206.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.398757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Dayton Flyers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8613043.8%57 W · 73 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed UNCW Seahawks42c198.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2842934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed UNCW Seahawks40c191$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5814450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Dayton Flyers54c190.26$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Dayton Flyers59c184.86$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7979448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dc…f9d3backed UNCW Seahawks54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.13560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Dayton Flyers56c181.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.074060%24 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Dayton Flyers48c171.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.157646.1%35 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Dayton Flyers60c165.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.111,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Dayton Flyers60c165.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1183350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Dayton Flyers61c162.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.437871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed UNCW Seahawks27c152.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3718548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Dayton Flyers60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked UNCW Seahawks47c148.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9094…a787backed UNCW Seahawks44c138.48$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked UNCW Seahawks45c134.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3169350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed UNCW Seahawks38c130.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.593043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Dayton Flyers56c130.4$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.823357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked UNCW Seahawks43c129.79$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.812544%11 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed UNCW Seahawks40c123.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.583638.9%14 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed UNCW Seahawks40c123.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5813450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Dayton Flyers51c121.92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7411854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Dayton Flyers51c119.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.83560%21 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked UNCW Seahawks43c119.45$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3750745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked UNCW Seahawks42c118.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.576446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked UNCW Seahawks44c114.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2626945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed UNCW Seahawks44c112.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.572123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed UNCW Seahawks43c110.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.63737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Dayton Flyers63c103.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.655757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc414…d870backed Dayton Flyers56c99.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Dayton Flyers53c99.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.825955.9%33 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed UNCW Seahawks52c95.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5623331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Dayton Flyers53c95.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Dayton Flyers57c86.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.48543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Dayton Flyers60c83.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5814245.8%65 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed UNCW Seahawks42c82.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.324432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked UNCW Seahawks40c82.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8429650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Dayton Flyers61c81.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.715269.2%36 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.