Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e65ee9429fa85463061b649585804e2a0c55982d5866560bf6f7c47199b210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,400 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 18,026$9,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,445.65 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 5,086$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.32 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 5,002$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 3,082$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.63 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 49c | 1,869$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.86 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,614$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 1,394$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.73 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.04 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,093$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 53c | 841.65$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.08 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Under | 58c | 683.78$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.59 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 606.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.51 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…3657backed Over | 50c | 589.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 47c | 531$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 42c | 495.74$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.21 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 429.22$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 138.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 36c | 137.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Over | 39c | 102.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 102.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 79c | 99.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…a0bdbacked Over | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…6f17backed Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 96.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 46c | 92.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 48c | 90.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 87.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 49c | 87.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 49c | 85.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 66.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 51.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 38c | 51.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…449bbacked Over | 49c | 38.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 52c | 37.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 40c | 34.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 53c | 34.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 61c | 30.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 52c | 27.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…3389backed Over | 49c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Over | 67c | 19.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…84bcbacked Over | 69c | 14.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 139.5this page
- Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW SeahawksDayton Flyers won
- Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-2.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-3.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-5.5)Dayton Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.