Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Dayton Flyers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1f79faaad384d4839a991ba96b02ed67a58f0eba55d4abf3371daef187662ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayton Flyersof Dayton Flyers, UNCW Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,412 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 13,555$7,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370.98 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 9,956$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 7,025$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.46 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UNCW Seahawks | 56c | 3,932$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.76 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 3,486$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.88 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dayton Flyers | 48c | 3,144$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 2,440$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.87 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dayton Flyers | 49c | 2,403$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 2,389$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UNCW Seahawks | 64c | 2,108$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.28 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 1,518$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.1 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 1,464$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Dayton Flyers | 53c | 991.28$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UNCW Seahawks | 64c | 949.31$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.47 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNCW Seahawks | 56c | 784.59$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…9906backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 467.59$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.77 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 389.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.11 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Dayton Flyers | 49c | 323.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 313.63$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Dayton Flyers | 54c | 188.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 122.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 118.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 104.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Dayton Flyers | 48c | 101.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Dayton Flyers | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 88.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Dayton Flyers | 55c | 63.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 59.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Dayton Flyers | 54c | 56.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed UNCW Seahawks | 45c | 55.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dayton Flyers | 44c | 54.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 53.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 48.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 47.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 42.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 35.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 34.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 46c | 34.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked UNCW Seahawks | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed UNCW Seahawks | 48c | 31.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…7454backed Dayton Flyers | 55c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Dayton Flyers | 53c | 29.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Dayton Flyers | 44c | 29.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 23.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Dayton Flyers | 53c | 22.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 20.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…f468backed UNCW Seahawks | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-2.5)this page
- Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW SeahawksDayton Flyers won
- Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 138.5Over won
- Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-3.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-5.5)Dayton Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.