TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Florida International Golden Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersof Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Florida International Golden Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,098 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders69c4,659$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.271,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida International Golden Panthers25c4,043$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders49c4,033$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.9474051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida International Golden Panthers51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.832,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders52c3,189$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.589845.9%45 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders53c1,853$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.792,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers57c1,443$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.8149345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers49c1,417$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.032,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders47c1,178$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.4592246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida International Golden Panthers47c1,177$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.853,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Florida International Golden Panthers54c999.97$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9821549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Florida International Golden Panthers55c991.62$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.092,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders57c814.07$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.451,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Florida International Golden Panthers52c673.07$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.311,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders75c591.48$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6114450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Florida International Golden Panthers50c574.93$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5125837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders73c521.7$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.633,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Florida International Golden Panthers50c495.63$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.817655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Florida International Golden Panthers59c472.57$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8213141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida International Golden Panthers55c422.24$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.024,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders57c390.48$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.072,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders47c388.06$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.671,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders48c294.41$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.096740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders54c292.81$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.91,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders49c283.12$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.522,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Florida International Golden Panthers53c280.55$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.691,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders48c268.47$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.679448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders27c241.94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9284854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida International Golden Panthers31c230.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.41,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florida International Golden Panthers20c228.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders46c215.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3733855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders51c213.8$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7645351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5fc…28abbacked Florida International Golden Panthers29c209.48$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.758748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Florida International Golden Panthers50c206.17$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.091,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers49c205.51$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.750745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders46c200.17$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.432,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders45c199.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.751,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers53c185.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders22c171.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0925239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders30c166.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5325337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders65c156.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1770349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders40c154.36$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1549747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders50c149.32$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6657448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders46c144.39$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Florida International Golden Panthers73c130.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1219522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers28c126.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.541,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Florida International Golden Panthers49c113$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.895,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Florida International Golden Panthers53c110.48$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4862140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Florida International Golden Panthers50c109.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1543053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders45c109.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.983148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers49c106.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d40…ef02backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders48c103.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida International Golden Panthers37c99.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.781,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6b…d6a4backed Florida International Golden Panthers55c99.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5d…859ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders46c99.56$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers55c99.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers53c99.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.546357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Florida International Golden Panthers50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5616721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ec…c21ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.563243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Florida International Golden Panthers50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.568834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…247dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers53c93.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders67c92.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1227055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Florida International Golden Panthers55c90.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5717551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x893a…37debacked Florida International Golden Panthers50c81.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders45c80.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0116755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders40c79.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.962753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked Florida International Golden Panthers67c74.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.614959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders48c67.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.921,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Florida International Golden Panthers49c64.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6211840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab0d…6ddfbacked Florida International Golden Panthers50c62.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.332548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders48c61.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2210849.1%53 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Florida International Golden Panthers55c59.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7117945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Florida International Golden Panthers21c56.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.919348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Florida International Golden Panthers55c55.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5620834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders47c54.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.726253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers58c51.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.934,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Florida International Golden Panthers49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7813450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Florida International Golden Panthers51c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.714461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Florida International Golden Panthers56c46.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders51c45.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3822950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Florida International Golden Panthers56c44.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0533445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Florida International Golden Panthers56c44.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7816746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Florida International Golden Panthers56c44.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.789150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Florida International Golden Panthers50c39.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.812133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders57c39.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Florida International Golden Panthers56c38.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce7…7cfabacked Florida International Golden Panthers53c38.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.444757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders47c37.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0358652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f1…2135backed Florida International Golden Panthers55c36.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Florida International Golden Panthers51c35.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Florida International Golden Panthers50c35.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.841735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e7…5a35backed Florida International Golden Panthers40c26.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.645322.6%12 W · 41 L-8.2wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders38c26.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3233058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72ab…8d29backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders47c22.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.812152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.