TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,993 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd529…f0d4backed No72c1,268$913 inWon+$354.941,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No72c1,048$754 inWon+$294.7465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3337…1cd4backed Yes27c725$197 inLost-$197714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30bc…43c3backed Yes28c708.68$198 inLost-$19830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e85…328bbacked Yes29c543.47$160 inLost-$159.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+69.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a0c…337abacked Yes28c428.89$120 inLost-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c160$114 inWon+$45.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab0d…6ddfbacked Yes28c61.46$17 inLost-$17.211225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…c84dbacked Yes27c53$14 inLost-$14.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5b…b58bbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost-$157640.8%31 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Yes40c47.9$19 inLost-$19.249031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No60c40$24 inWon+$1660267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79b4…c59fbacked No70c38$27 inWon+$11.47569.3%52 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes28c35.63$10 inLost-$10.014434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No73c30$22 inWon+$8.11,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No73c30$22 inWon+$8.188057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No59c16.95$10 inWon+$6.9597049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.