NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec3f4c3935ce959f34d34ebfde34bb6d4cffb91d8268cd46bedaa0fe583ddde8

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Cavaliers, Bucks
Resolved: Mar 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $71,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,857 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1f09…9312backed Bucks	52c	4,808$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.69	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers	56c	3,865$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160.1	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Bucks	79c	2,765$2,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.63	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Cavaliers	59c	2,562$1,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.59	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	36c	2,521$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.79	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Bucks	44c	2,302$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,289.26	277	35%97 W · 180 L	-30.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x976e…ecf3backed Cavaliers	51c	2,110$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.99	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers	51c	1,928$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.24	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	47c	1,675$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.72	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9087…457bbacked Bucks	72c	1,609$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.8	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Cavaliers	49c	1,301$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.11	128	43.8%56 W · 72 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	48c	1,282$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.26	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Cavaliers	56c	1,250$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	54c	1,137$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.42	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Cavaliers	4c	879.3$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.71	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Bucks	41c	860$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.4	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Cavaliers	38c	800$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	59c	728.8$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.2	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers	61c	648$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.06	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks	49c	557.84$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.96	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks	55c	519.3$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.08	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Bucks	49c	510.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.2	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks	43c	500$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…e574backed Bucks	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	66cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks	52c	498$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.04	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Bucks	41c	463.41$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.41	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	53c	458.91$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.72	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Cavaliers	54c	448$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.92	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-7.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers	54c	437.34$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cavaliers	56c	429.87$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.73	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Bucks	43c	411.63$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.63	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucks	41c	400$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Bucks	41c	350$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.5	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Bucks	58c	317.45$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.48	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bucks	44c	294.98$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.19	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cavaliers	14c	281.27$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.49	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Bucks	43c	257.82$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.5	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92c4…ffc4backed Cavaliers	44c	250.11$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers	18c	235$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.72	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Bucks	44c	229.1$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.35	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Bucks	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Bucks	44c	226$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.56	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks	48c	217.96$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.65	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3009…19a9backed Cavaliers	48c	209.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Cavaliers	60c	207.01$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.12	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Bucks	47c	205.56$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.43	213	49.3%105 W · 108 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Bucks	50c	200$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.91	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Bucks	41c	199.3$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.81	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	53c	195.05$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.38	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f9…6d23backed Cavaliers	13c	187.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	43cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Cavaliers	54c	185.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Bucks	62c	180$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.55	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Cavaliers	39c	175.45$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.89	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Bucks	41c	175$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.25	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Bucks	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	354	47.7%169 W · 185 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Cavaliers	40c	162.5$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bucks	67c	159.43$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.16	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bucks	52c	155.62$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.7	263	53.6%141 W · 122 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers	53c	145$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.85	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Cavaliers	55c	140$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.06	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Cavaliers	51c	138.24$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Bucks	31c	130$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	271	38.7%105 W · 166 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Bucks	74c	122.2$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.34	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Bucks	58c	120.69$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.69	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8159…ed58backed Cavaliers	54c	120.37$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	262	46.6%122 W · 140 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks	51c	114.03$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.12	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Bucks	44c	107.39$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.14	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bucks	46c	106.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.11	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Cavaliers	20c	104.89$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.67	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Bucks	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Cavaliers	61c	95.74$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.4	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers	56c	89.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Bucks	41c	87.52$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.64	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Bucks	41c	87.52$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.64	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks	40c	87$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.2	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Cavaliers	49c	81.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cavaliers	17c	80.23$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bucks	38c	77.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.25	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers	37c	74.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.32	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Bucks	71c	70$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.3	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers	59c	67.87$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers	42c	67.2$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Bucks	51c	65.63$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.01	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Bucks	46c	63$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.02	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Cavaliers	54c	61.72$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	118	51.7%61 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Bucks	45c	61$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.55	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Cavaliers	52c	59.68$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.88	192	45.3%87 W · 105 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Cavaliers	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Bucks	44c	54.45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.49	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb0…3e75backed Cavaliers	45c	53.95$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.32	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bucks	39c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bucks	59c	49.76$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.32	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x919c…06d8backed Cavaliers	62c	47.5$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.45	198	52%103 W · 95 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Cavaliers	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed Cavaliers	53c	43.79$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	68	64.7%44 W · 24 L	+6.2wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed Cavaliers	36c	42.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Cavaliers	44c	41.2$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+7.6wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Cavaliers	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Bucks	41c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	144	43.1%62 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53d…b31bbacked Cavaliers	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Bucks won
Cavaliers vs. BucksCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 27.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Myles Turner: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5No won
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Bucks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Bucks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event