TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee39…d66a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$21.82
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.72
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$67.89
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$25.34
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.9
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.75
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.93
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.