NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60c6e06b89d34ef795401003411340b7b1253d6f08264082d2ffae9bfa95bd07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $650,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $650,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 50c | 156,180$78,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,090.02 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 64,517$34,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,792.12 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Timberwolves | 46c | 64,188$29,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,469.47 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Nuggets | 50c | 61,808$30,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,904.23 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 57,498$29,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,174.04 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Nuggets | 49c | 51,100$25,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,038.94 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Nuggets | 50c | 47,223$23,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,593.79 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 48c | 31,668$15,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,600.58 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Nuggets | 52c | 26,000$13,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,520 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Timberwolves | 54c | 25,667$13,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,824.27 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.95 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…7404backed Timberwolves | 73c | 17,761$12,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.42 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 47c | 15,565$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.52 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets | 47c | 15,120$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,097.17 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 13,421$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 13,375$6,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,955.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Nuggets | 53c | 11,435$6,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,026.1 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 47c | 11,195$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.66 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Nuggets | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Timberwolves | 48c | 10,948$5,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,693.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nuggets | 49c | 10,173$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 9,815$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.12 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Nuggets | 52c | 9,665$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.8 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 44c | 6,500$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.91 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 6,156$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.52 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Nuggets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves | 46c | 5,335$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.4 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…e972backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,333$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 5,049$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.37 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,022$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.51 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 18c | 4,015$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.38 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 31c | 3,705$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,667$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.4 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,247$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.56 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…b221backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,945$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.57 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 35c | 2,850$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,736$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,512$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.88 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,370$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.3 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nuggets | 31c | 2,299$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.58 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,204$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Nuggets | 10c | 1,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Nuggets | 28c | 1,700$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.49 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 27c | 1,614$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.73 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Nuggets | 15c | 1,554$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.16 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,544$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…9f8fbacked Nuggets | 35c | 1,484$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,475$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.19 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Nuggets | 14c | 1,416$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,358$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.64 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,325$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.72 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,229$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,065$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.17 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,038$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,030$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…8fdcbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Nuggets | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 950.06$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.53 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 946.55$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.2 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 50c | 911.89$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.21 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Timberwolves | 52c | 871.95$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.25 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Nuggets | 48c | 869.31$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.27 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 45c | 842.11$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.27 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 840$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.81 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 49c | 816.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Nuggets | 19c | 789.51$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Timberwolves | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 49c | 752.81$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…96afbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Nuggets | 46c | 710.17$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.73 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Nuggets | 51c | 665$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.8 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Nuggets | 49c | 650$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Timberwolves | 51c | 649.97$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.49 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Nuggets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Timberwolves | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Nuggets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves | 54c | 593.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 575.48$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.