TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$467,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$473,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes51c175,872$88,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,935.843250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes55c173,742$94,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,024.112653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No50c113,878$56,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,400.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c30,292$14,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,200.133,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No46c21,278$9,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,787.665947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f9…fffdbacked No49c19,784$9,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,69410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No8c17,912$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.075621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked No46c14,938$6,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,912.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No46c10,838$5,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0043641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No46c10,299$4,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,737.381546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No45c10,276$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.854544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed No45c9,464$4,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,246.24141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No44c7,496$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,298.271127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c7,095$3,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,203.0974155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c6,626$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.6344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No46c6,217$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.252850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No49c5,897$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No50c5,820$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9101050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No46c5,600$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.4614654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No46c5,473$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.914552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes57c5,191$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.339954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…1f2ebacked No45c4,650$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No46c4,612$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.7511443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No44c4,373$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.992123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No49c3,957$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed No49c3,957$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No50c3,414$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.23839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes54c3,288$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.383234.4%11 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No47c3,263$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.562951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No44c3,256$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.11118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-70.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No47c3,030$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.9616543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes49c2,590$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.771855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No50c2,375$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No46c2,335$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.984261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No26c2,252$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.677141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No45c2,000$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.9620449.5%101 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes53c1,995$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.62958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed No50c1,942$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.493046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No27c1,770$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.861030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes52c1,681$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No44c1,613$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.161560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes43c1,483$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No43c1,420$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.482825%7 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No40c1,383$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No9c1,363$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.141,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed No47c1,032$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No47c1,030$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.0210956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No47c1,030$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.021631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No44c1,007$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.041833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes50c1,002$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No44c966.4$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.222951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No27c956.2$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.172441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed No46c928.48$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cc…85edbacked Yes56c834.51$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…d897backed Yes56c734.93$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No49c729.93$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.674259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb388…3e65backed No44c724.8$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No20c721.82$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No47c720.79$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3155545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No46c714.02$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.311957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab2…aa17backed Yes56c710$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x407b…e0fabacked No44c695.81$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked No57c634.02$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.421163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed No52c630.86$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No47c617.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4514443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No44c541.4$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.225547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes50c525.64$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.823360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked No45c523.15$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,02647.4%486 W · 540 L-3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c497.27$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.751,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No49c492.46$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.36136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Yes52c466.73$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No31c462.12$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.742,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No9c459.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3812336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0a…898cbacked Yes44c439.27$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+47.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.281662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No44c439.13$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.279056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes56c434.64$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.241154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c425.94$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1992050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed No48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No46c380.85$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8466250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes78c367.99$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4513067.7%88 W · 42 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Yes52c354.86$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes56c351.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.752466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed No44c343.05$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.771936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Yes46c315.48$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Yes46c315.1$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ce3…6011backed No8c297.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed No55c291.9$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.556546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e4…65e7backed Yes46c288.85$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes43c287.56$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.914360.5%26 W · 17 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+60.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes75c263.51$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.541258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.