TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked No79c19,595$15,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.892958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x794f…3906backed Yes37c8,900$3,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,286.2560%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes25c7,758$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c6,201$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.01195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes23c5,881$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.144228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfece…ef64backed Yes12c5,169$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes10c5,080$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.3384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes1c4,491$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6619250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No72c3,685$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.645545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No58c3,300$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.993148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes21c3,253$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.033234.4%11 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes19c3,158$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes22c3,036$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.94922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No77c2,235$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.364369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No76c2,007$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.584261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.988946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes21c1,919$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.362536%9 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No76c1,596$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes21c1,361$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No78c1,249$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.82454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes25c1,134$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.552334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes21c1,134$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes21c1,048$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.225740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c1,046$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No79c1,019$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.042860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes24c994.17$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.61850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes24c994.17$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.62025%5 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No79c983.1$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.45875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3b…e3eabacked Yes38c946.17$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.1640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes24c858.96$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1518444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No74c836.74$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.551346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes21c652.29$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes21c625.9$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.449056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c609.99$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.331849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes19c601.75$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c596.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.263,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes19c497.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6896947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes21c476.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No78c475.55$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.111631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes16c470.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1738047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes21c466.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.023354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b49…01febacked Yes21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes21c444.86$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.426136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes22c433.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.321323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid+95.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes24c416.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.061250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2911…2a0dbacked Yes21c394.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes23c380.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4611833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes25c378.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.512142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes9c373.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.283129%9 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked Yes26c353.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+109.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No77c330.38$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.991,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes21c317.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7511443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd141…5e5fbacked Yes21c294.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+75.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…cec1backed Yes4c261.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes22c261$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.421154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes21c254.34$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.413132.3%10 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes21c252.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0414654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No78c250$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.53860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes22c247.44$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.442825%7 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No75c243.81$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4720048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes21c238.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.095547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes21c210.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2214552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No79c202.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.513964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes5c202$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked No74c198.81$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.693847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No76c197.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.313174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe194…5deabacked Yes25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.75425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf61…4d44backed Yes25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.752254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3727…fb49backed Yes26c185.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No76c180$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.215949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed No80c177.73$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No77c170.27$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes21c158.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.342147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44cb…feb2backed Yes24c157.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ba…56c1backed Yes12c156.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No75c150.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0945135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No77c144.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.548254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes28c140.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.231442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes21c136.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.583432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Yes26c130.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.851040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes22c127.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.964264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes23c124.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9d…0553backed No80c122.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.46366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c121.16$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.291,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.23366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x369d…6798backed Yes36c119.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes23c119.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1312633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No78c119.24$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.242568%17 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c117.66$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1469448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No76c115$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.612345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No78c114.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.715257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d63…ed55backed Yes21c111.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes25c110.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7127644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No80c109.67$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.932487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No77c108.41$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.931957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.