Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x617ffe8b440f5d71cf90a4e9d8b5bcbfd31c6a50210ad94d1ad12e59c1e9315d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 3c | 7,914$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.98 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 7,455$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.61 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 3,256$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.75 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 2,208$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.94 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 76c | 1,929$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.28 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 6c | 1,573$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…9869backed Yes | 5c | 1,509$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 28c | 933.87$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 28c | 924.67$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.46 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 28c | 861.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.36 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 822.3$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cc…85edbacked Yes | 25c | 802.2$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 80c | 687.3$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Yes | 5c | 471.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 405$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 24c | 359.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 24c | 343.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 27c | 289.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 13c | 218.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 25c | 195.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 33cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 24c | 149.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…aaf9backed Yes | 27c | 132.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 131.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 125.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 76c | 112.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 112.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 111.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 111.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 73c | 87.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 71c | 83.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 30c | 74.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 70.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 68.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5863…04dbbacked Yes | 31c | 61.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 73c | 60.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 77c | 59.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Yes | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.4wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 76c | 53.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 28.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 25.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 75c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.