Fifa International · resolved market
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7faefb308b215c7f0f06f0873b455b9e06d81729cdbc127ba78fc85f5bd53401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed No | 73c | 4,948$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.15 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 68c | 1,132$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.27 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed No | 72c | 894.4$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 721.85$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 721.72$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 27c | 626.65$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…b70dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…775bbacked Yes | 27c | 362.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 28c | 314.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…3705backed No | 70c | 205.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +12.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2488backed Yes | 27c | 173.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…6601backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 68c | 108.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 27c | 104.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…ea63backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…7ca6backed Yes | 27c | 92.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…e3a8backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…3daebacked Yes | 31c | 62.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…d07cbacked Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…eec3backed Yes | 34c | 46.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…51e3backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…264dbacked Yes | 30c | 33.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 31.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c1…6b9dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…8d6ebacked No | 75c | 29.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 70c | 23.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 21.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…f895backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsthis page
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ assistsYes won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ shotsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsYes won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ shotsYes won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ shotsYes won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ goalsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.