MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb60a91cfce7e2697eae59cae79e5292a5618b2f7b977117450df1bc185d6c762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 2,733$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.75 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 994.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.28 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 950.76$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.44 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 592.94$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 329.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 216.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 73c | 214.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 206.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 174.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 112.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 70.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 59.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 55.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 51.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 51.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 49.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 43.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 31.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 29.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 29.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 26.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 20.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles AngelsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.