MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16e7e74bbb2a014ee944671d5764ad44dd61c2ce0fa9321b653bead22ac82522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 3c | 5,376$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.23 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 48c | 1,026$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.25 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 52c | 655.56$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.67 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 393.85$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 393.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 49c | 212.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 52c | 178.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 128.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…8715backed Under | 47c | 82.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Under | 49c | 42.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 50c | 38.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Under | 49c | 37.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 26.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…716cbacked Under | 49c | 20.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 19.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles AngelsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.