Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe30bb5db900f88fcf8a600e328e8631d9499876290b52b063982cc82eda2877a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,476 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 62,883$31,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,183.71 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 20,069$10,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,781.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 18,269$9,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,968.95 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 48c | 17,341$8,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,316.58 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 48c | 5,889$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.56 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 4,519$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.44 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 4,427$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.95 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,394$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.45 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…5e9ebacked Over | 49c | 1,011$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…77e2backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 52c | 594.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.48 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 52c | 525.67$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 52c | 405.52$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.65 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 214.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 177.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 161.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 148.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 49c | 139.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…fa0dbacked Over | 50c | 138.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 128.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 52c | 122.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 52c | 107.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…18d6backed Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 52c | 90.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 50c | 69.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…e92bbacked Under | 52c | 65.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Under | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 58.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 52c | 52.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Over | 49c | 50.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 51c | 49.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Under | 52c | 45.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 52c | 41.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Under | 52c | 37.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Under | 72c | 36.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 51c | 33.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Under | 52c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb92b…cc3fbacked Under | 52c | 28.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Under | 52c | 26.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 52c | 25.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 23.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 51c | 20.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Under | 52c | 19.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 153.5this page
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga BulldogsGonzaga Bulldogs won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 135.5Over won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 137.5Under won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 138.5Under won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 139.5Under won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 140.5Under won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 142.5Under won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 151.5Under won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 152.5Under won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-10.5)Kennesaw State Owls won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-11.5)Kennesaw State Owls won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-12.5)Kennesaw State Owls won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-13.5)Kennesaw State Owls won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-14.5)Kennesaw State Owls won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-15.5)Kennesaw State Owls won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-20.5)Kennesaw State Owls won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-21.5)Kennesaw State Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.