TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Kennesaw State Owlsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, Kennesaw State Owls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,141 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Kennesaw State Owls49c9,859$4,874 inWon+$4,985.3646246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs50c7,605$3,803 inLost-$3,802.568957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs50c5,738$2,880 inLost-$2,879.673455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Kennesaw State Owls51c3,300$1,683 inWon+$1,616.6214854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Gonzaga Bulldogs36c502.97$179 inLost-$179.163,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gonzaga Bulldogs48c424.26$202 inLost-$201.91,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kennesaw State Owls53c420.53$222 inWon+$198.292,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs14c232.56$33 inLost-$32.561717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Kennesaw State Owls61c221.01$135 inWon+$86.227955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Kennesaw State Owls49c205.89$101 inWon+$105.1352843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Kennesaw State Owls50c200.23$100 inWon+$100.1214325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Gonzaga Bulldogs54c198.26$107 inLost-$107.068361.4%51 W · 32 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2842…8052backed Gonzaga Bulldogs53c187.03$99 inLost-$99.131520%3 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Kennesaw State Owls51c145.77$74 inWon+$71.434445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Kennesaw State Owls51c132.77$67 inWon+$65.5935338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs51c58.31$30 inLost-$29.745944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Kennesaw State Owls50c44.08$22 inWon+$21.9464647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3612…cf99backed Gonzaga Bulldogs52c28.56$15 inLost-$14.851936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Kennesaw State Owls53c27.63$15 inWon+$12.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.