TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 154.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,609 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over47c47,577$22,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,163.2389645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under53c43,406$22,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,478.654348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c19,079$10,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,818.4112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c16,506$8,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,699.152,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over45c10,626$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,778.4360949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Over47c8,922$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,193.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under56c6,399$3,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.4325145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over47c6,241$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.321833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over47c4,237$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.229244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c3,361$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.35,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over49c2,943$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.215356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under51c2,575$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.0239454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over48c2,275$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0924540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Over46c2,165$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.683740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over49c2,015$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.4914346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over45c1,650$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.5212054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c1,520$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.8618744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c1,038$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.7118048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Over48c1,001$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.483548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…691dbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over47c533.31$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6622043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over47c531$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5710437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over49c523.01$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2716341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under60c378.46$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.38372.3%60 W · 23 L+14.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Under55c345.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.693348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over49c315$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.355942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Under51c312.24$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over47c274.18$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8758652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a7…6d08backed Under71c267.07$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.012045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c263.21$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.741,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb54b…63b3backed Under55c198.27$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under51c198.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under55c180.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1111844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under71c153.37$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.118754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c142.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.655,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over47c141.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.391952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over44c130.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7335338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over47c109.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6250745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Over47c109.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.258245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Under57c106.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6221830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under54c99.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over47c99.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.591,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over47c99.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.597950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c99.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5962451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked Over50c95.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.995143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d02…46e2backed Under55c86.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.448640.7%35 W · 51 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Under59c85.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.122450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Under51c77.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over50c64.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3640849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c56.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over47c52.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.788543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over47c52.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6948551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Over47c50.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.794156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2d…032dbacked Under51c48.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bfa…b5a7backed Over50c43.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd60…b29cbacked Over50c43.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over47c42.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0330050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over47c42.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0324148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over47c42.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0332850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…5f8bbacked Over47c42.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over47c42.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8321252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Over47c42.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.824055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d15…f73bbacked Over50c41.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Over47c41.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.513161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8a…227bbacked Over50c40.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…1d84backed Under51c39.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…88debacked Under51c38.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc838…9607backed Over50c38.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4a…ced8backed Under51c37.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5034…962abacked Under51c37.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…06b3backed Under55c36.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.464548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ad…a6c5backed Under51c36.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Under55c36.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.222347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a6…6e3fbacked Over46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c32.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Over47c32.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.371957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb166…4b37backed Over50c31.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Over47c31.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.871369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50c0…eb7fbacked Over45c23.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.741020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-54.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over47c22.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7130152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under61c20.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.063,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under54c18.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5233058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.