MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbda18e9d1cb8153197e2eb90f2dfba63607a0ffd14899a3943fa0285e1fb8c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Atlanta Braves, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,516 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 12,706$5,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,951.24 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 4,114$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.03 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 3,750$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.41 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 2,200$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,889$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.54 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,067$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.29 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 846.78$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.39 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 760.38$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 574.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.89 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 573.9$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.83 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…242dbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 568.47$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 562$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 490.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 471.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 443.6$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 432.59$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.67 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 381.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Atlanta Braves | 14c | 363.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 293$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.54 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 276.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 272.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 237.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 218$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 194$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 185.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 176.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 172.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 158.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 143$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 111.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 111.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 110.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 104.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 99.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 87.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 83.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 77.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 69c | 70.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 68.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 62.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 52.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Minnesota Twins | 21c | 51.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 46.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 45.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 44.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 44.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 41.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 38.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…ec46backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 37.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 36.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 32.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e8d0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 30.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 28.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…a2a2backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 23.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.