MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3c1e4e7ff78f9b09712db450c1dbc77565b1f19bb9b4bd136d51b074125e200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Athletics | 62c | 17,941$11,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,123.21 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 8,648$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 6,548$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Athletics | 59c | 5,995$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.89 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 2,226$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.13 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 2,226$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.13 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 933.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.07 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 657$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.34 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 622.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 549.81$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.88 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Athletics | 63c | 493.01$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.59 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 490.32$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 466.45$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.62 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Athletics | 44c | 439.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 414.37$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.91 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked Athletics | 62c | 391.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 369.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.76 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 344.34$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 325.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 310.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.1 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Athletics | 63c | 266.07$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.62 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 61c | 256.67$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Atlanta Braves | 79c | 251.45$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 234.51$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 195.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Atlanta Braves | 15c | 172.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Athletics | 32c | 154.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…485abacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 133.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Athletics | 62c | 114.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Athletics | 62c | 114.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Athletics | 62c | 114.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Athletics | 62c | 114.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 93.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…b74bbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 87.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Athletics | 62c | 79.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 77.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Atlanta Braves | 22c | 72.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 64.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 54.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 50.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 46.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Athletics | 44c | 45.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 43.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Athletics | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Athletics | 62c | 39.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…e449backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 39.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 39.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 36.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 34.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 33.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Athletics | 61c | 32.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 30.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 29.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…8b87backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 29.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Athletics | 62c | 29.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 28.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Athletics | 62c | 27.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Athletics | 63c | 21.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Athletics | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Athletics vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Athletics vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- NRFI: Athletics vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.