MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23c4d435e416e78ed6aceabbcff41688beb88f024fc5e96b4fe3d036f59a1608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 57c | 26,780$15,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,420.19 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Over | 43c | 20,961$8,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,990.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 9,374$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.73 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Under | 52c | 7,880$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Over | 43c | 7,461$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.08 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 48c | 4,966$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.92 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 4,873$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.95 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Under | 52c | 2,955$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 2,415$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,907$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 57c | 1,837$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.19 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 41c | 1,403$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.09 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 59c | 1,202$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.94 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 57c | 1,109$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.22 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Over | 45c | 1,070$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 854$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 59c | 831.51$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.75 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 42c | 720.96$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.57 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 715.23$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 712.89$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.54 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 527.52$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.66 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 43c | 463.09$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 43c | 437.97$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 45c | 419.67$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 299.21$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 56c | 296.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 46c | 295.69$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 57c | 278.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 57c | 245.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 42c | 234.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Over | 42c | 234.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 42c | 234.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 42c | 231.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 42c | 223.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 42c | 221$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 46c | 197.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 129.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 44c | 111.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 48c | 107.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked Under | 52c | 98.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 52c | 92.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 53c | 89.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 46c | 74.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 41c | 74.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…3b00backed Over | 55c | 72.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 59c | 68.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 42c | 68.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 59c | 67.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 46c | 64.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 42c | 58.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 57c | 54.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 57c | 46.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 48c | 44.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 43c | 43.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 60c | 42.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…1bf6backed Under | 60c | 42.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 65c | 42.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 66c | 41.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 42c | 41.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 45c | 38.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed Over | 43c | 34.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 34.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 58c | 34.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Over | 46c | 34.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 44c | 33.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Over | 42c | 32.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 43c | 31.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 50c | 27.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Over | 49c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…3ce9backed Under | 55c | 24.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 23.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…f0c4backed Under | 71c | 22.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Under | 58c | 21.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 58c | 19.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 19.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 55c | 19.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5this page
- Athletics vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- NRFI: Athletics vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.