South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3c5d505413bb8293478352e25908a84ecdb0700194dc3966d01e5110a919bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 31c | 3,180$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 3,174$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 71c | 1,834$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 935.88$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 62c | 771.42$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.29 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 31c | 728.53$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 649.91$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Over | 71c | 435.5$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 33c | 419.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 76c | 399.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 64c | 313.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 29c | 262$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 54c | 204.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 69c | 188.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 150.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 150.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Under | 37c | 135.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Over | 70c | 134.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 132.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 123.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 100.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 68c | 69.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 68c | 68.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 49.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 56c | 31.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 67c | 25.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 70c | 24.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 70c | 22.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 48c | 21.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 70c | 19.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 73c | 13.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.