South American Leagues · resolved market

Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96352e8e198ffe079f3044afffb85f2d73d39ed969177e339035c6b6b5d1c911

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $59,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,571 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under	56c	37,081$20,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,494.77	294	46.6%137 W · 157 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	45c	11,795$5,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,281.06	1,985	44.8%890 W · 1,095 L	-44.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	43c	8,098$3,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,499.24	517	49.9%258 W · 259 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under	58c	6,870$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,869.63	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+3.0wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	39c	6,350$2,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,468.68	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	44c	6,115$2,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,711.89	2,388	51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	43c	3,739$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.15	3,405	51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	52c	1,513$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.64	494	49%242 W · 252 L	+22.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88d4…ffb3backed Over	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over	37c	1,468$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.74	297	47.1%140 W · 157 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	73c	1,113$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.08	1,328	57%757 W · 571 L	+57.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over	45c	1,099$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	167	47.9%80 W · 87 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	44c	1,023$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	30c	1,003$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.87	129	40.3%52 W · 77 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	46c	685.45$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.98	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-5.6wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	60c	623.91$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.44	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	49c	510.31$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	218	39.4%86 W · 132 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	25c	444$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	367	27%99 W · 268 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over	45c	400$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Under	79c	292.44$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.31	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over	18c	278.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over	17c	235.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	212.07$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.09	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	62c	208.43$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	166	56%93 W · 73 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over	45c	180$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	218	37.6%82 W · 136 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	45c	167.54$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.04	114	59.6%68 W · 46 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	57c	139$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.77	165	43.6%72 W · 93 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	45c	135$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.75	194	60.3%117 W · 77 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over	22c	122.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	44c	122.11$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.93	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-8.7wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over	12c	121.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over	15c	120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	270	50.7%137 W · 133 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	22c	118.86$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	45c	115$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over	45c	112$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over	44c	109.31$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.1	156	51.9%81 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	37c	106.57$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.1	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	493	41%202 W · 291 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	15c	100.76$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	852	20.7%176 W · 676 L	-85.2wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	391	27.1%106 W · 285 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over	45c	90$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	45c	90$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over	31c	83.48$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over	45c	75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9654…8b19backed Over	27c	66.63$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.37per pick	38cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Over	36c	61.11$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	61	62.3%38 W · 23 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	69	62.3%43 W · 26 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over	47c	57$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.79	235	42.1%99 W · 136 L	-13.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	68c	55.58$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.82	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc2…3fa2backed Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	65	58.5%38 W · 27 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Under	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over	44c	44.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	44c	44.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	992	59.1%586 W · 406 L	+108.7wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over	28c	39.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under	55c	33.39$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.14	111	55%61 W · 50 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Over	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over	42c	33.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.1wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	38c	28.95$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	251	47.8%120 W · 131 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc078…f854backed Over	47c	28.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a38…2d59backed Over	53c	26.28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.01	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over	44c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x546e…ec0cbacked Over	47c	22.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c4…1378backed Under	70c	21.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.43	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a95…23cfbacked Under	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.3	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5this page
Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event