La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b83c362a56d43a5c4e72833f6ebb606dfb14db061caa0d314843fbf7d4c88a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xffdc…f0bbbacked Yes | 50c | 23,020$11,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…8387backed No | 50c | 23,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 4,528$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.49 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 49c | 4,354$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1032backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 22c | 1,749$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.8 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 1,482$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.81 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 25c | 1,118$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Yes | 43c | 749.61$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…facbbacked Yes | 28c | 723.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 51c | 706$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.49 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 29c | 575.72$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Yes | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 382.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 51c | 379.14$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 332.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…5bb8backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…b1c9backed Yes | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 259$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 63c | 172.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 27c | 162.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 115.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 33c | 113.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…aa10backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 77c | 76.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Yes | 20c | 69.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…a982backed Yes | 48c | 62.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 51c | 46.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Yes | 35c | 42.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…8ae5backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…66acbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…4ee0backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…178dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…028abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0827…0131backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…ed97backed No | 73c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
- Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.