La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x714bce084d2d9639b1099f141350228fbf36439d48a0ce376d94f51280a49105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 3,667$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.34 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Over | 43c | 2,328$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 42c | 1,588$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.96 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 57c | 1,052$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.36 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 969.66$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.9 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 879.74$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.33 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 822.42$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.07 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 36c | 736.09$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.83 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 714.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 41c | 404.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 42c | 394.09$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 378.83$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2346backed Over | 10c | 333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 34c | 292.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 22c | 268.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 248.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 58c | 226$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 28c | 185.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 58c | 179.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 57c | 121.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 41c | 121.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Over | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 59c | 108.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 60c | 100.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 40c | 77.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 74.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 79c | 62.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…6c38backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…7cb6backed Over | 41c | 53.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…9e49backed Under | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d9…a144backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…c8b4backed Over | 42c | 31.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 73c | 30.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…f4d9backed Over | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…e7bbbacked Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…82c6backed Under | 59c | 23.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…5636backed Under | 59c | 23.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under | 59c | 20.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
- Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.