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La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde18…83bcbacked Under33c10,500$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,035850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c3,936$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.413,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over44c2,985$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.123756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over41c2,425$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c2,388$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.684,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over69c2,168$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.924663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over25c2,026$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9869…1032backed Over69c1,442$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over14c1,042$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.845927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under31c999.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over21c994.51$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8562258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under59c992.13$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.261,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c989.38$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.362,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under67c908.43$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.154257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over52c886$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.666929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over30c825$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.53847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under31c806$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.1450949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over30c700$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2096445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over22c700$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over20c579$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.81717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Over43c575.84$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c550.28$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.971,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over39c538$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9912944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over19c524.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.72060%12 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over50c399.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over51c388.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over57c311.31$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.726235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12916845.8%77 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over61c281.97$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17213070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over30c275$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over49c257.4$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9149057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over18c225$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over69c223$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.879640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under79c221.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.625072%36 W · 14 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10242558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58ba…1ae8backed Under52c197.23$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.94520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-61.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over33c190$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.73171%22 W · 9 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over69c181.6$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under31c180.17$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.321,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under59c169.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.262025%5 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a60…6e83backed Under32c160.27$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over31c145.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.195644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c137.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.091,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over36c133.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over68c124.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3311354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over20c123.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2114259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x462a…45f0backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over34c119.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.64843.8%21 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3926…5863backed Over27c118.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under51c115.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7622653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under78c100.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.566643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6962744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa05…a764backed Under73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+663.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Over35c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.31540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over45c89.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3111855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over17c86.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under64c85.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over35c85.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over68c84.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.76464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over41c82.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under51c82.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1846040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over60c81.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.182770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over69c77.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.745349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.138958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under67c74.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.352352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over68c73.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9932145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over67c62.62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9620245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over68c54.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.188155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under33c51.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.323053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd4c…8139backed Over56c50.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.521844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over37c47.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7141147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce18…3c84backed Over31c45.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under69c43.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.571668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.