Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Simona Waltert vs Ajla Tomljanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ddfe044563b50588cbb4873802e8d432f55e5f0768a68e21e814baaf446f19c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ajla Tomljanovicof Simona Waltert, Ajla Tomljanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,776 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Simona Waltert | 9c | 11,219$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.85 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Simona Waltert | 15c | 4,935$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.88 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Simona Waltert | 11c | 4,168$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.26 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Simona Waltert | 0c | 4,088$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 2,388$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.78 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 74c | 1,543$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Simona Waltert | 27c | 1,489$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.21 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Simona Waltert | 11c | 1,399$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Simona Waltert | 11c | 1,177$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Simona Waltert | 3c | 1,141$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Simona Waltert | 21c | 976.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Simona Waltert | 16c | 914.79$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…1294backed Simona Waltert | 29c | 810$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Simona Waltert | 11c | 730.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…17fcbacked Simona Waltert | 28c | 640$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Simona Waltert | 7c | 612.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a5e0backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 71c | 530$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab7…3af7backed Simona Waltert | 27c | 490$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Simona Waltert | 28c | 452.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Simona Waltert | 17c | 420$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Simona Waltert | 10c | 403.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 78c | 387.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9479…55dabacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Simona Waltert | 9c | 341.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Simona Waltert | 12c | 280.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…7c19backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…2f0dbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 270$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…1682backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 270$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Simona Waltert | 25c | 238.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…1857backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Simona Waltert | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Simona Waltert | 24c | 193.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Simona Waltert | 27c | 187.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Simona Waltert | 13c | 184.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Simona Waltert | 23c | 175$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Simona Waltert | 12c | 165.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Simona Waltert | 27c | 163.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Simona Waltert | 16c | 143.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Simona Waltert | 20c | 141$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Simona Waltert | 27c | 138.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 72c | 137.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Simona Waltert | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 72c | 104.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Simona Waltert | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Simona Waltert | 28c | 104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Simona Waltert | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Simona Waltert | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 71c | 93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 74c | 80.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Simona Waltert | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Simona Waltert | 27c | 73.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 79c | 69.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 78c | 56.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 80c | 53.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Simona Waltert | 28c | 50.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Simona Waltert | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Simona Waltert | 28c | 37.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 72c | 29.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Ajla Tomljanovic | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 71c | 21.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Ajla Tomljanovic | 76c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Simona Waltert vs Ajla Tomljanovicthis page
- Set Handicap: Tomljanovic (-1.5) vs Waltert (+1.5)Tomljanovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.